Market dataIncome framework read
Dividend CompanyTSXCanada

CP.TO

Canadian Pacific Kansas City

IndustrialsPlain dividendQuarterly

Market Snapshot

$130.81

+$0.42 (32.21%)

Toronto

Yield

0.82%

Rate $1.07

Next Payment

Ex-date 2026-09-25

52wk Position

95.31%

-1.28% below high

Updated

Income Intelligence Summary

Deterministic interpretation from Prospyr's income framework and available market data.

Framework readout
1

Income reliability

Derived from payout history

Quarterly income profile is visible

CP.TO has an income profile aligned with its dividend company role. Provider data shows 4 recent payout records.

2

DRIP defense

Editorial framework

Default DRIP test is not defended

CP.TO does not cover one full share per payment at the default 100-share test. Coverage is 0.2.

3

Main watch item

Editorial framework

DRIP coverage is the weak point

CP.TO is below the defended default DRIP zone. The practical watch item is share count versus current price, not just stated yield.

Decision Area

Distribution and DRIP Defense

Payout history, default DRIP coverage, and price creep pressure using market data where available.

Distribution Chart

Last 12 payments

Confirmed Expected

Coverage Ratio Test

DRIP defense check

Failed
Cash
$26.75
APR
0.204
Coverage
0.204

Rung failed. Restore immediately or rebalance the holding.

Price Creep

Defended price ceiling

Max defended
$26.75
Cushion
-$104.06
Cushion %
-79.55%
Current $130.81Break $26.75

Smart Recommendation

CP.TO is not defended at these inputs; top up shares, lower TPR, or test alternatives.

Research Signals

Payout sustainability

Very low, 18-20.2% earnings basis, 34-38% cash payout

1mo ago

DRIP availability

Likely available

1mo ago

Tax character

Eligible dividend (company-confirmed)

1mo ago

Distribution history

17.5% increase to $0.268/share effective April 2026 (company-reported); multi-year streak not independently confirmed this pass

1mo ago

Structure complexity

Low-moderate, dual-listed TSX/NYSE

1mo ago

Income trend

Softening near-term

1mo ago

Account suitability

Hold TSX line (CP.TO) for Canadian eligible-dividend treatment

1mo ago

Structure Overview

Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) operates the only single-line railway connecting Canada, the United States, and Mexico. Q1 2026 results (quarter ended March 31, 2026) showed revenue down 2% year-over-year to $3.7 billion and net income down 7.1% to $845 million, driven by foreign exchange and fuel cost pressure, even as the company reported record Q1 grain volumes and a 2% increase in Revenue Ton-Miles. The board approved a 17.5% dividend increase alongside a new share buyback program, and management reiterated confidence in full-year 2026 guidance.

Canadian Planning Notes

  • 1CP is dual-listed on the TSX (CP.TO) and NYSE (CP); Canadian investors should confirm they hold the TSX line to receive Canadian eligible-dividend tax treatment rather than US-sourced income treatment on the NYSE line.
  • 2Q1 2026's softer earnings were explicitly attributed by the company to FX and fuel costs, not a change in the underlying freight-volume trend, which improved during the quarter.
  • 3DRIP is common among large-cap Canadian dividend payers; confirm optional cash purchase support with your broker.

Market Facts

Market Data

A factual market, distribution, valuation, and financial snapshot for this holding.

Market Data

Market data

Updated facts where available

Price

$130.81

Previous close

$130.39

Day range

$129.49 - $132.33

52wk range

$96.50 - $132.50

Market cap

115B

Volume

930.6K

Avg volume

1.3M

Exchange

Toronto

Dividend and distribution

Forward rate

$1.07

Trailing rate

$0.95

Forward yield

0.82%

Trailing yield

0.73%

Per payment

$0.27

Cadence

Quarterly

Next ex-date

Sep 25, 2026

Next pay

Oct 26, 2026

Last dividend

$0.27

Last dividend date

Jun 26, 2026

Performance

Daily change

$0.42

Daily change %

32.21%

52wk position

95.31%

Below 52wk high

-1.28%

Above 52wk low

35.55%

Open

$129.94

Earnings and financials

Trailing EPS

4.3

Forward EPS

5.99

Revenue

15.4B

Revenue growth

12.60%

Profit margin

25.03%

Operating margin

38.98%

Payout ratio

N/A

Free cash flow

2.2B

Total cash

366M

ROE

8.15%

ROA

4.44%

Debt/equity

52.82

Beta

1.22

Valuation

Trailing P/E

30.42

Forward P/E

21.85

Price/sales

7.44

Price/book

2.47

Enterprise value

140.8B

EV/EBITDA

17.06

Analyst facts

Target mean

$139.53

Target high

$153.00

Target low

$104.00

Recommendation mean

1.8

Recommendation key

buy

Analysts

19

Canadian Context

Account placement

Non-registered

Eligible Canadian dividends qualify for the dividend tax credit, which can improve after-tax income in taxable accounts.

TFSA: Tax-free growth and withdrawals.

RRSP: Tax-deferred growth, with withdrawals taxed as regular income.

Eligible dividend tax credit

Total credit
$345.27
Effective rate
34.53%

Broker DRIP status

Questrade

Available

Wealthsimple

Available

RBC Direct Investing

Available

TD Direct Investing

Available

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This profile is informational only and does not constitute licensed financial advice. Signal values, planning notes, market data, and structure summaries may not reflect the most current issuer disclosures. Always verify current payout policy, ex-dividend dates, financial statements, and issuer communications before making any investment decision.